06 Mar 2025

MO Briefing

06 Mar 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Expansion

1 session

Expansionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 658 instruments

50%
19%
21%
Long Buildup 330Short Buildup 126Long Unwind 29Short Cover 136Neutral 37

Structural lean: +0.473(466 expansionary, 155 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.55x

below baseline

Divergence

1.01x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.55x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.01x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.73x

below baseline · 2 contracts

Equities

0.71x

below baseline · 2029 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.73x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress25
Coordinated Contraction27
Coordinated Contraction28
Fragmented Expansion03
Fragmented Contraction04
Early Expansion05
Fragmented Expansion06

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Early Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.