05 Mar 2025

MO Briefing

05 Mar 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Expansion

1 session

First session of expansionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 658 instruments

66%
22%
Long Buildup 433Short Buildup 39Long Unwind 5Short Cover 147Neutral 34

Structural lean: +0.815(580 expansionary, 44 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.67x

below baseline

Divergence

0.58x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.67x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.58x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.67x

below baseline · 2 contracts

Equities

0.85x

below baseline · 2036 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.67x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Coordinated Contraction27
Coordinated Contraction28
Fragmented Expansion03
Fragmented Contraction04
Early Expansion05

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Fragmented Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.