07 Mar 2025

MO Briefing

07 Mar 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 658 instruments

27%
45%
11%
12%
Long Buildup 175Short Buildup 298Long Unwind 73Short Cover 79Neutral 33

Structural lean: -0.178(254 expansionary, 371 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.65x

below baseline

Divergence

1.62x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.65x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.62x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.12x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

0.71x

below baseline · 2029 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.12x baseline)

Recent Path

Coordinated Contraction27
Coordinated Contraction28
Fragmented Expansion03
Fragmented Contraction04
Early Expansion05
Fragmented Expansion06
Fragmented Contraction07

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Fragmented Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.