28 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

28 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Coordinated Contraction

2 sessions

Instruments aligned in contraction. Structure is coherent.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 658 instruments

75%
13%
Long Buildup 25Short Buildup 491Long Unwind 84Short Cover 12Neutral 46

Structural lean: -0.818(37 expansionary, 575 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.42x

below baseline

Divergence

0.64x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.42x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.64x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.24x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

0.97x

below baseline · 2030 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.24x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress19
Expansion Under Stress20
Contraction Under Stress21
Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Coordinated Contraction27
Coordinated Contraction28

Structural Activity

Quiet
posture held|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.