27 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

27 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Coordinated Contraction

1 session

Instruments aligned in contraction. Structure is coherent.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 430 instruments

23%
75%
Long Buildup 100Short Buildup 323Long Unwind 3Short Cover 1Neutral 3

Structural lean: -0.523(101 expansionary, 326 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.43x

below baseline

Divergence

0.57x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.43x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.57x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.52x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

0.90x

below baseline · 2030 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.52x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress18
Expansion Under Stress19
Expansion Under Stress20
Contraction Under Stress21
Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Coordinated Contraction27

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Contraction Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.