03 Mar 2025

MO Briefing

03 Mar 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Expansion

1 session

Expansionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 658 instruments

47%
32%
11%
Long Buildup 307Short Buildup 212Long Unwind 30Short Cover 71Neutral 38

Structural lean: +0.207(378 expansionary, 242 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.69x

below baseline

Divergence

1.42x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.69x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.42x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.02x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

1.19x

elevated · 2040 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.02x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress20
Contraction Under Stress21
Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Coordinated Contraction27
Coordinated Contraction28
Fragmented Expansion03

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Coordinated Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.