13 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

13 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Stressed Equilibrium

1 session

No structural lean, but basis structure is strained. Tension without resolution.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 662 instruments

32%
38%
16%
Long Buildup 209Short Buildup 249Long Unwind 63Short Cover 103Neutral 38

Structural lean: +0.000(312 expansionary, 312 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.01x

elevated

Divergence

1.42x

elevated

Basis flip stress elevated (1.01x baseline). Instrument divergence elevated (1.42x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.33x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

0.85x

below baseline · 2030 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.33x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion05
Fragmented Contraction06
Fragmented Contraction07
Coordinated Contraction10
Coordinated Contraction11
Fragmented Contraction12
Stressed Equilibrium13

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Fragmented Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.