14 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

14 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

1 session

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 662 instruments

65%
22%
Long Buildup 41Short Buildup 433Long Unwind 146Short Cover 17Neutral 25

Structural lean: -0.787(58 expansionary, 579 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.05x

elevated

Divergence

0.81x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.05x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.81x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.53x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

1.22x

elevated · 2026 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.53x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Contraction06
Fragmented Contraction07
Coordinated Contraction10
Coordinated Contraction11
Fragmented Contraction12
Stressed Equilibrium13
Contraction Under Stress14

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Transitioned from Stressed Equilibrium

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.