24 Oct 2024

MO Briefing

24 Oct 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

4 sessions

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 550 instruments

28%
34%
15%
18%
Long Buildup 156Short Buildup 186Long Unwind 85Short Cover 97Neutral 26

Structural lean: -0.033(253 expansionary, 271 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.19x

elevated

Divergence

0.88x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.19x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.88x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.58x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

0.81x

below baseline · 1910 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.58x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Contraction16
Coordinated Contraction17
Fragmented Expansion18
Contraction Under Stress21
Contraction Under Stress22
Contraction Under Stress23
Contraction Under Stress24

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.