25 Oct 2024

MO Briefing

25 Oct 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

5 sessions

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 549 instruments

47%
33%
Long Buildup 46Short Buildup 259Long Unwind 182Short Cover 44Neutral 18

Structural lean: -0.639(90 expansionary, 441 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

2.50x

elevated

Divergence

0.46x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (2.50x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.46x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.55x

elevated · 1 contracts

Equities

1.18x

elevated · 1904 contracts

Expanded ranges (1.55x baseline)

Recent Path

Coordinated Contraction17
Fragmented Expansion18
Contraction Under Stress21
Contraction Under Stress22
Contraction Under Stress23
Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.