23 Oct 2024

MO Briefing

23 Oct 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

3 sessions

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 550 instruments

25%
34%
16%
20%
Long Buildup 140Short Buildup 187Long Unwind 89Short Cover 112Neutral 22

Structural lean: -0.044(252 expansionary, 276 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.55x

elevated

Divergence

1.00x

elevated

Basis flip stress elevated (1.55x baseline). Instrument divergence elevated (1.00x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.42x

elevated · 1 contracts

Equities

1.10x

elevated · 1913 contracts

Expanded ranges (1.42x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion15
Fragmented Contraction16
Coordinated Contraction17
Fragmented Expansion18
Contraction Under Stress21
Contraction Under Stress22
Contraction Under Stress23

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence elevated

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.