09 Sep 2024

MO Briefing

09 Sep 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Expansion

1 session

Expansionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 554 instruments

29%
35%
11%
19%
Long Buildup 161Short Buildup 192Long Unwind 60Short Cover 105Neutral 36

Structural lean: +0.025(266 expansionary, 252 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.58x

below baseline

Divergence

1.48x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.58x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.48x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.92x

below baseline · 2 contracts

Equities

0.99x

below baseline · 1839 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.92x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion30
Fragmented Contraction02
Fragmented Expansion03
Early Contraction04
Fragmented Expansion05
Early Contraction06
Fragmented Expansion09

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Early Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.