06 Sep 2024

MO Briefing

06 Sep 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Contraction

1 session

First session of contractionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 554 instruments

59%
25%
Long Buildup 31Short Buildup 326Long Unwind 141Short Cover 28Neutral 28

Structural lean: -0.736(59 expansionary, 467 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.51x

below baseline

Divergence

0.57x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.51x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.57x)

Range Compression

Futures

2.52x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

1.04x

elevated · 1836 contracts

Expanded ranges (2.52x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion29
Fragmented Expansion30
Fragmented Contraction02
Fragmented Expansion03
Early Contraction04
Fragmented Expansion05
Early Contraction06

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Fragmented Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.