10 Sep 2024

MO Briefing

10 Sep 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Expansion

2 sessions

Expansionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 554 instruments

43%
21%
25%
Long Buildup 237Short Buildup 115Long Unwind 35Short Cover 139Neutral 28

Structural lean: +0.408(376 expansionary, 150 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.61x

below baseline

Divergence

1.12x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.61x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.12x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.12x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

0.80x

below baseline · 1840 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.12x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Contraction02
Fragmented Expansion03
Early Contraction04
Fragmented Expansion05
Early Contraction06
Fragmented Expansion09
Fragmented Expansion10

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.