02 Jul 2025

MO Briefing

02 Jul 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Coordinated Contraction

1 session

Instruments aligned in contraction. Structure is coherent.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 659 instruments

30%
44%
13%
Long Buildup 197Short Buildup 292Long Unwind 61Short Cover 83Neutral 26

Structural lean: -0.111(280 expansionary, 353 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.46x

below baseline

Divergence

0.93x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.46x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.93x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.11x

elevated · 5 contracts

Equities

0.83x

below baseline · 2043 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.11x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress24
Expansion Under Stress25
Coordinated Expansion26
Fragmented Expansion27
Fragmented Expansion30
Early Contraction01
Coordinated Contraction02

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Early Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.