01 Jul 2025

MO Briefing

01 Jul 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Contraction

1 session

First session of contractionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 659 instruments

32%
44%
11%
Long Buildup 213Short Buildup 293Long Unwind 52Short Cover 71Neutral 30

Structural lean: -0.093(284 expansionary, 345 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.45x

below baseline

Divergence

0.94x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.45x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.94x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.97x

below baseline · 5 contracts

Equities

0.82x

below baseline · 2045 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.97x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress23
Expansion Under Stress24
Expansion Under Stress25
Coordinated Expansion26
Fragmented Expansion27
Fragmented Expansion30
Early Contraction01

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Fragmented Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.