02 Apr 2025

MO Briefing

02 Apr 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Expansion

1 session

Expansionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 659 instruments

45%
13%
29%
Long Buildup 299Short Buildup 88Long Unwind 30Short Cover 188Neutral 54

Structural lean: +0.560(487 expansionary, 118 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.49x

below baseline

Divergence

1.05x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.49x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.05x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.33x

elevated · 3 contracts

Equities

0.83x

below baseline · 2110 contracts

Expanded ranges (1.33x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Contraction Under Stress26
Fragmented Expansion27
Fragmented Contraction28
Fragmented Contraction01
Fragmented Expansion02

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Fragmented Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.