01 Apr 2025

MO Briefing

01 Apr 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

2 sessions

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 659 instruments

20%
49%
14%
11%
Long Buildup 132Short Buildup 325Long Unwind 91Short Cover 70Neutral 41

Structural lean: -0.325(202 expansionary, 416 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.57x

below baseline

Divergence

1.30x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.57x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.30x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.77x

below baseline · 3 contracts

Equities

0.93x

below baseline · 2116 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.77x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress21
Expansion Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Contraction Under Stress26
Fragmented Expansion27
Fragmented Contraction28
Fragmented Contraction01

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.