26 Mar 2025

MO Briefing

26 Mar 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

2 sessions

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 658 instruments

19%
45%
24%
11%
Long Buildup 124Short Buildup 296Long Unwind 156Short Cover 74Neutral 8

Structural lean: -0.386(198 expansionary, 452 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.45x

elevated

Divergence

0.91x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.45x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.91x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.78x

below baseline · 2 contracts

Equities

0.95x

below baseline · 2105 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.78x baseline)

Recent Path

Coordinated Expansion18
Coordinated Expansion19
Expansion Under Stress20
Expansion Under Stress21
Expansion Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Contraction Under Stress26

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.