25 Mar 2025

MO Briefing

25 Mar 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

1 session

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 658 instruments

13%
50%
27%
Long Buildup 88Short Buildup 329Long Unwind 180Short Cover 51Neutral 10

Structural lean: -0.562(139 expansionary, 509 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.50x

elevated

Divergence

0.83x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.50x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.83x)

Range Compression

Futures

2.04x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

1.08x

elevated · 2105 contracts

Expanded ranges (2.04x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress17
Coordinated Expansion18
Coordinated Expansion19
Expansion Under Stress20
Expansion Under Stress21
Expansion Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Transitioned from Expansion Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.