24 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

24 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

2 sessions

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 662 instruments

15%
45%
27%
11%
Long Buildup 100Short Buildup 295Long Unwind 181Short Cover 72Neutral 14

Structural lean: -0.459(172 expansionary, 476 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.75x

elevated

Divergence

0.83x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.75x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.83x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.64x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

0.73x

below baseline · 2030 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.64x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress14
Fragmented Expansion17
Contraction Under Stress18
Expansion Under Stress19
Expansion Under Stress20
Contraction Under Stress21
Contraction Under Stress24

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.