21 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

21 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

1 session

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 662 instruments

11%
48%
29%
Long Buildup 75Short Buildup 320Long Unwind 194Short Cover 57Neutral 16

Structural lean: -0.577(132 expansionary, 514 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.54x

elevated

Divergence

0.71x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.54x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.71x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.92x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

0.83x

below baseline · 2019 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.92x baseline)

Recent Path

Stressed Equilibrium13
Contraction Under Stress14
Fragmented Expansion17
Contraction Under Stress18
Expansion Under Stress19
Expansion Under Stress20
Contraction Under Stress21

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Transitioned from Expansion Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.