11 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

11 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Coordinated Contraction

2 sessions

Instruments aligned in contraction. Structure is coherent.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 662 instruments

72%
21%
Long Buildup 9Short Buildup 479Long Unwind 139Short Cover 8Neutral 27

Structural lean: -0.908(17 expansionary, 618 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.62x

below baseline

Divergence

0.17x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.62x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.17x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.07x

elevated · 1 contracts

Equities

1.18x

elevated · 2032 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.07x baseline)

Recent Path

Coordinated Contraction03
Early Expansion04
Fragmented Expansion05
Fragmented Contraction06
Fragmented Contraction07
Coordinated Contraction10
Coordinated Contraction11

Structural Activity

Quiet
posture held|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.