05 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

05 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Expansion

1 session

Expansionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 662 instruments

44%
24%
21%
Long Buildup 292Short Buildup 161Long Unwind 31Short Cover 140Neutral 38

Structural lean: +0.363(432 expansionary, 192 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.62x

below baseline

Divergence

1.26x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.62x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.26x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.73x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

0.71x

below baseline · 2016 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.73x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress29
Fragmented Expansion30
Fragmented Expansion31
Contraction Under Stress01
Coordinated Contraction03
Early Expansion04
Fragmented Expansion05

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Early Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.