14 Jan 2025

MO Briefing

14 Jan 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Expansion

1 session

First session of expansionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 668 instruments

50%
15%
28%
Long Buildup 331Short Buildup 103Long Unwind 13Short Cover 185Neutral 36

Structural lean: +0.599(516 expansionary, 116 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.80x

below baseline

Divergence

0.56x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.80x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.56x)

Range Compression

Futures

--

Equities

0.96x

below baseline · 1993 contracts

No surface data available

Recent Path

Coordinated Contraction06
Early Expansion07
Early Contraction08
Coordinated Contraction09
Contraction Under Stress10
Contraction Under Stress13
Early Expansion14

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Contraction Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.