13 Jan 2025

MO Briefing

13 Jan 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

2 sessions

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 668 instruments

67%
25%
Long Buildup 19Short Buildup 447Long Unwind 166Short Cover 5Neutral 31

Structural lean: -0.882(24 expansionary, 613 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.04x

elevated

Divergence

0.02x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.04x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.02x)

Range Compression

Futures

--

Equities

1.42x

elevated · 1993 contracts

No surface data available

Recent Path

Fragmented Contraction03
Coordinated Contraction06
Early Expansion07
Early Contraction08
Coordinated Contraction09
Contraction Under Stress10
Contraction Under Stress13

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.