13 Dec 2024

MO Briefing

13 Dec 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Expansion

1 session

First session of expansionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 684 instruments

35%
33%
12%
15%
Long Buildup 240Short Buildup 223Long Unwind 84Short Cover 102Neutral 35

Structural lean: +0.051(342 expansionary, 307 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.73x

below baseline

Divergence

0.98x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.73x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.98x)

Range Compression

Futures

2.27x

elevated · 8 contracts

Equities

0.96x

below baseline · 1964 contracts

Expanded ranges (2.27x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion05
Fragmented Expansion06
Fragmented Contraction09
Fragmented Expansion10
Fragmented Expansion11
Early Contraction12
Early Expansion13

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Early Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.