12 Dec 2024

MO Briefing

12 Dec 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Contraction

1 session

First session of contractionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 684 instruments

17%
52%
15%
10%
Long Buildup 119Short Buildup 353Long Unwind 104Short Cover 70Neutral 38

Structural lean: -0.392(189 expansionary, 457 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.63x

below baseline

Divergence

0.61x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.63x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.61x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.53x

below baseline · 8 contracts

Equities

0.86x

below baseline · 1963 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.53x baseline)

Recent Path

Coordinated Expansion04
Fragmented Expansion05
Fragmented Expansion06
Fragmented Contraction09
Fragmented Expansion10
Fragmented Expansion11
Early Contraction12

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Fragmented Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.