01 Nov 2024

MO Briefing

01 Nov 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Expansion Under Stress

1 session

Expanding with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 549 instruments

32%
26%
14%
20%
Long Buildup 178Short Buildup 144Long Unwind 36Short Cover 79Neutral 112

Structural lean: +0.140(257 expansionary, 180 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.35x

elevated

Divergence

5.07x

elevated

Basis flip stress elevated (1.35x baseline). Instrument divergence elevated (5.07x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.22x

below baseline · 6 contracts

Equities

0.59x

below baseline · 1912 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.22x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Expansion Under Stress28
Expansion Under Stress29
Contraction Under Stress30
Fragmented Contraction31
Expansion Under Stress01

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Fragmented Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.