31 Oct 2024

MO Briefing

31 Oct 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 370 instruments

35%
61%
Long Buildup 131Short Buildup 224Long Unwind 4Short Cover 8Neutral 3

Structural lean: -0.241(139 expansionary, 228 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.45x

below baseline

Divergence

1.39x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.45x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.39x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.00x

below baseline · 5 contracts

Equities

0.75x

below baseline · 1906 contracts

Compressed ranges (1.00x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress23
Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Expansion Under Stress28
Expansion Under Stress29
Contraction Under Stress30
Fragmented Contraction31

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Contraction Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.