03 Oct 2024

MO Briefing

03 Oct 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Contraction

1 session

First session of contractionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 553 instruments

66%
20%
Long Buildup 39Short Buildup 363Long Unwind 112Short Cover 18Neutral 21

Structural lean: -0.756(57 expansionary, 475 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.28x

below baseline

Divergence

0.52x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.28x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.52x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.59x

elevated · 4 contracts

Equities

1.07x

elevated · 1848 contracts

Expanded ranges (1.59x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Fragmented Expansion26
Fragmented Expansion27
Fragmented Contraction30
Early Expansion01
Early Contraction03

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Early Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.