01 Oct 2024

MO Briefing

01 Oct 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Expansion

1 session

First session of expansionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 553 instruments

34%
36%
15%
Long Buildup 187Short Buildup 199Long Unwind 45Short Cover 83Neutral 39

Structural lean: +0.047(270 expansionary, 244 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.25x

below baseline

Divergence

0.79x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.25x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.79x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.03x

elevated · 4 contracts

Equities

0.83x

below baseline · 1848 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.03x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress23
Expansion Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Fragmented Expansion26
Fragmented Expansion27
Fragmented Contraction30
Early Expansion01

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Fragmented Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.