19 Sep 2024

MO Briefing

19 Sep 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

3 sessions

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 554 instruments

30%
32%
18%
17%
Long Buildup 167Short Buildup 178Long Unwind 102Short Cover 94Neutral 13

Structural lean: -0.034(261 expansionary, 280 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.83x

elevated

Divergence

0.81x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.83x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.81x)

Range Compression

Futures

2.97x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

1.33x

elevated · 1833 contracts

Expanded ranges (2.97x baseline)

Recent Path

Early Contraction11
Early Expansion12
Fragmented Expansion13
Early Contraction16
Contraction Under Stress17
Contraction Under Stress18
Contraction Under Stress19

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.