18 Sep 2024

MO Briefing

18 Sep 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

2 sessions

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 554 instruments

13%
50%
24%
10%
Long Buildup 72Short Buildup 276Long Unwind 132Short Cover 56Neutral 18

Structural lean: -0.505(128 expansionary, 408 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.77x

elevated

Divergence

0.81x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.77x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.81x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.11x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

0.95x

below baseline · 1837 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.11x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion10
Early Contraction11
Early Expansion12
Fragmented Expansion13
Early Contraction16
Contraction Under Stress17
Contraction Under Stress18

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.