16 Aug 2024

MO Briefing

16 Aug 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Expansion Under Stress

1 session

Expanding with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 556 instruments

53%
36%
Long Buildup 293Short Buildup 24Long Unwind 12Short Cover 201Neutral 26

Structural lean: +0.824(494 expansionary, 36 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.01x

elevated

Divergence

0.63x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.01x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.63x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.06x

elevated · 1 contracts

Equities

0.77x

below baseline · 1885 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.06x baseline)

Recent Path

Early Expansion07
Fragmented Contraction08
Fragmented Expansion09
Fragmented Contraction12
Coordinated Contraction13
Fragmented Contraction14
Expansion Under Stress16

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Transitioned from Fragmented Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.