14 Aug 2024

MO Briefing

14 Aug 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 556 instruments

14%
44%
22%
15%
Long Buildup 80Short Buildup 243Long Unwind 120Short Cover 81Neutral 32

Structural lean: -0.363(161 expansionary, 363 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.72x

below baseline

Divergence

1.07x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.72x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.07x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.49x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

0.85x

below baseline · 1886 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.49x baseline)

Recent Path

Coordinated Contraction06
Early Expansion07
Fragmented Contraction08
Fragmented Expansion09
Fragmented Contraction12
Coordinated Contraction13
Fragmented Contraction14

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Coordinated Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.