18 Dec 2025

MO Briefing

18 Dec 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Coordinated Contraction

3 sessions

Instruments aligned in contraction. Structure is coherent.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 630 instruments

31%
35%
15%
16%
Long Buildup 198Short Buildup 222Long Unwind 94Short Cover 99Neutral 17

Structural lean: -0.030(297 expansionary, 316 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.70x

below baseline

Divergence

0.89x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.70x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.89x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.81x

below baseline · 3 contracts

Equities

0.83x

below baseline · 2369 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.81x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Contraction10
Early Expansion11
Fragmented Expansion12
Fragmented Contraction15
Coordinated Contraction16
Coordinated Contraction17
Coordinated Contraction18

Structural Activity

Quiet
posture held|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.