02 Dec 2025

MO Briefing

02 Dec 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

4 sessions

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 630 instruments

25%
49%
11%
10%
Long Buildup 160Short Buildup 309Long Unwind 67Short Cover 64Neutral 30

Structural lean: -0.241(224 expansionary, 376 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.29x

below baseline

Divergence

1.39x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.29x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.39x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.15x

elevated · 3 contracts

Equities

0.77x

below baseline · 2353 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.15x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress24
Coordinated Contraction25
Early Expansion26
Fragmented Contraction27
Fragmented Contraction28
Fragmented Contraction01
Fragmented Contraction02

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.