31 Jul 2025

MO Briefing

31 Jul 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Coordinated Contraction

1 session

Instruments aligned in contraction. Structure is coherent.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 430 instruments

18%
78%
Long Buildup 79Short Buildup 336Long Unwind 8Short Cover 4Neutral 3

Structural lean: -0.607(83 expansionary, 344 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.97x

below baseline

Divergence

0.71x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.97x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.71x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.57x

elevated · 4 contracts

Equities

1.04x

elevated · 2055 contracts

Expanded ranges (1.57x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress23
Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress25
Contraction Under Stress28
Expansion Under Stress29
Contraction Under Stress30
Coordinated Contraction31

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Contraction Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.