13 May 2025

MO Briefing

13 May 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 653 instruments

25%
51%
12%
Long Buildup 161Short Buildup 330Long Unwind 81Short Cover 63Neutral 18

Structural lean: -0.286(224 expansionary, 411 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.59x

below baseline

Divergence

1.41x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.59x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.41x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

--

Equities

0.83x

below baseline · 2103 contracts

No surface data available

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion05
Early Contraction06
Fragmented Expansion07
Contraction Under Stress08
Contraction Under Stress09
Early Expansion12
Fragmented Contraction13

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Early Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.