20 Mar 2025

MO Briefing

20 Mar 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Expansion Under Stress

1 session

Expanding with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 658 instruments

43%
21%
25%
Long Buildup 285Short Buildup 140Long Unwind 50Short Cover 164Neutral 19

Structural lean: +0.394(449 expansionary, 190 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.53x

elevated

Divergence

0.70x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.53x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.70x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.69x

below baseline · 2 contracts

Equities

0.80x

below baseline · 2046 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.69x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress11
Early Contraction12
Contraction Under Stress13
Expansion Under Stress17
Coordinated Expansion18
Coordinated Expansion19
Expansion Under Stress20

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Transitioned from Coordinated Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.