01 Feb 2025

MO Briefing

01 Feb 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

1 session

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 662 instruments

28%
50%
Long Buildup 188Short Buildup 334Long Unwind 61Short Cover 49Neutral 30

Structural lean: -0.239(237 expansionary, 395 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.17x

elevated

Divergence

1.17x

elevated

Basis flip stress elevated (1.17x baseline). Instrument divergence elevated (1.17x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

9.34x

elevated · 1 contracts

Equities

0.99x

below baseline · 2007 contracts

Expanded ranges (9.34x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress24
Contraction Under Stress27
Contraction Under Stress28
Expansion Under Stress29
Fragmented Expansion30
Fragmented Expansion31
Contraction Under Stress01

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Fragmented Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.