20 Jan 2025

MO Briefing

20 Jan 2025 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Expansion Under Stress

3 sessions

Expanding with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 668 instruments

40%
27%
21%
Long Buildup 270Short Buildup 179Long Unwind 48Short Cover 141Neutral 30

Structural lean: +0.275(411 expansionary, 227 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.25x

elevated

Divergence

1.29x

elevated

Basis flip stress elevated (1.25x baseline). Instrument divergence elevated (1.29x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

--

Equities

0.79x

below baseline · 1997 contracts

No surface data available

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress10
Contraction Under Stress13
Early Expansion14
Contraction Under Stress15
Expansion Under Stress16
Expansion Under Stress17
Expansion Under Stress20

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress elevated|divergence elevated

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.