27 Dec 2024

MO Briefing

27 Dec 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 667 instruments

30%
48%
11%
Long Buildup 199Short Buildup 321Long Unwind 32Short Cover 43Neutral 72

Structural lean: -0.166(242 expansionary, 353 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.39x

below baseline

Divergence

1.23x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.39x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.23x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.65x

below baseline · 9 contracts

Equities

0.75x

below baseline · 1973 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.65x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress18
Contraction Under Stress19
Contraction Under Stress20
Expansion Under Stress23
Contraction Under Stress24
Expansion Under Stress26
Fragmented Contraction27

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Expansion Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.