06 Dec 2024

MO Briefing

06 Dec 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Expansion

2 sessions

Expansionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 684 instruments

44%
30%
14%
Long Buildup 303Short Buildup 205Long Unwind 45Short Cover 97Neutral 34

Structural lean: +0.219(400 expansionary, 250 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.49x

below baseline

Divergence

2.29x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.49x). Instrument divergence elevated (2.29x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.04x

elevated · 11 contracts

Equities

0.77x

below baseline · 1959 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.04x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Contraction28
Fragmented Expansion29
Coordinated Expansion02
Fragmented Expansion03
Coordinated Expansion04
Fragmented Expansion05
Fragmented Expansion06

Structural Activity

Active
posture held|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.