14 Nov 2024

MO Briefing

14 Nov 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 549 instruments

31%
35%
13%
16%
Long Buildup 172Short Buildup 193Long Unwind 71Short Cover 88Neutral 25

Structural lean: -0.007(260 expansionary, 264 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.82x

below baseline

Divergence

1.23x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.82x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.23x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

0.80x

below baseline · 6 contracts

Equities

0.84x

below baseline · 1926 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.80x baseline)

Recent Path

Coordinated Expansion06
Early Contraction07
Coordinated Contraction08
Coordinated Contraction11
Coordinated Contraction12
Coordinated Contraction13
Fragmented Contraction14

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Coordinated Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.