07 Nov 2024

MO Briefing

07 Nov 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Contraction

1 session

First session of contractionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 549 instruments

14%
63%
13%
Long Buildup 77Short Buildup 348Long Unwind 71Short Cover 25Neutral 28

Structural lean: -0.577(102 expansionary, 419 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.43x

below baseline

Divergence

0.98x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.43x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.98x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.89x

below baseline · 6 contracts

Equities

0.83x

below baseline · 1918 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.89x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress30
Fragmented Contraction31
Expansion Under Stress01
Contraction Under Stress04
Early Expansion05
Coordinated Expansion06
Early Contraction07

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Coordinated Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.