05 Nov 2024

MO Briefing

05 Nov 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Expansion

1 session

First session of expansionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 549 instruments

48%
22%
21%
Long Buildup 261Short Buildup 121Long Unwind 24Short Cover 114Neutral 29

Structural lean: +0.419(375 expansionary, 145 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.50x

below baseline

Divergence

0.99x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.50x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.99x)

Range Compression

Futures

2.29x

elevated · 6 contracts

Equities

0.80x

below baseline · 1915 contracts

Expanded ranges (2.29x baseline)

Recent Path

Expansion Under Stress28
Expansion Under Stress29
Contraction Under Stress30
Fragmented Contraction31
Expansion Under Stress01
Contraction Under Stress04
Early Expansion05

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Contraction Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.