21 Oct 2024

MO Briefing

21 Oct 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Contraction Under Stress

1 session

Contracting with internal strain. Basis structure under stress.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 550 instruments

56%
26%
Long Buildup 45Short Buildup 309Long Unwind 145Short Cover 30Neutral 21

Structural lean: -0.689(75 expansionary, 454 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

1.55x

elevated

Divergence

0.84x

below baseline

Basis flip stress elevated (1.55x baseline). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.84x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.22x

elevated · 1 contracts

Equities

1.07x

elevated · 1914 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.22x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion11
Fragmented Expansion14
Fragmented Expansion15
Fragmented Contraction16
Coordinated Contraction17
Fragmented Expansion18
Contraction Under Stress21

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress elevated|divergence normal

Transitioned from Fragmented Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.