07 Oct 2024

MO Briefing

07 Oct 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Coordinated Contraction

2 sessions

Instruments aligned in contraction. Structure is coherent.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 553 instruments

62%
20%
Long Buildup 40Short Buildup 341Long Unwind 108Short Cover 28Neutral 36

Structural lean: -0.689(68 expansionary, 449 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.35x

below baseline

Divergence

0.52x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.35x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.52x)

Range Compression

Futures

1.19x

elevated · 4 contracts

Equities

1.66x

elevated · 1855 contracts

Slightly expanded ranges (1.19x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Expansion26
Fragmented Expansion27
Fragmented Contraction30
Early Expansion01
Early Contraction03
Coordinated Contraction04
Coordinated Contraction07

Structural Activity

Quiet
posture held|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.